Picking Winners and Handicapping Horse Races Using Public Handicappers

Have you ever followed the public handicappers who put their picks in the newspaper or who work for the race track? You may find that some of them go on streaks and sometimes actually do quite well at finding winners. Of course, it is almost impossible for them to show a profit because they have to pick horses in every race. Playing every race and making a profit is about impossible. The best handicappers in the world pick their spots carefully and pass a lot of races.

But you as a horse player can do the same thing, so you don't have to play every horse that the public "cappers," pick. Think of that and the implications. You can follow them and determine where their strengths and weaknesses are. There is one that I can think of who handicaps the New York circuit and who is good at spotting live two year olds. He doesn't hit a lot of winners but has some very mice longshot bets in maiden races and shows a profit overall.

That is the kind of information that you can use and save yourself some time digging through the past performances. First of all, however, you have to determine just where the public capper's strength lies and then exploit it. You do that by printing out his or her picks and then getting the results and comparing them along with the payoffs.

The important thing is to note the kinds of race and the conditions. For instance, if it is a race for 3 year olds or 2 year olds, that is significant. The length of the race and surface is important, too. Keep track of all these things and start looking for patterns or long shot winners.

Obviously a winner here or there isn't a pattern, but if you watch him or her over a period of three or four months and he or she hits a high percentage of winners or enough long shots to show a profit, then you've found an easy way to find good bets. While the handicapper may not tell you which races are actually profitable for him or her, you will know.

It is interesting to note that after following public handicappers for months and seeing that some actually show a profit in certain kinds of races, like the example of the NY handicapper, even though some have a kind of race where they excel, many times, they don't identify them as their "best bets." For instance, handicapper A may show an overall profit in maiden races but when he or she picks his or her best bet of the day, it is in an allowance race.

That shouldn't bother you, however if you know that the real best bet is in another race and you use that information to identify your own best bet of the day.

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://horse-racing-handicapping.co/ and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill's handicapping store.

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Ratios for Horse Racing Handicapping and Picking Winners

Many people are aware of the factors used to handicap a horse race, but how many know just how important each factor may be? Do you know if class or speed is more important in that turf race you are now handicapping? Is early speed the most important consideration in that dirt sprint? Knowing how the factors relate to each other will help you to pick more winners.

Some people call it weighing the factors. The most important aspect of the race gets the most weight. If may be expressed as a percentage or as a simple number such as Speed +1.43. Obviously, even though class, speed, or other considerations may seem to matter more, we can't disregard the other things that make handicapping the challenge that it is.

A lot of times, the way to determine which one of the many statistics and bits of data you are analyzing is the strongest is to look for the differences between the runners. For instance, if you have a maiden claiming race where the top three contenders have the following average speed figures, A=78, B=77, and C=75, you have three horses who are closely matched for speed.

If your research has shown that speed is usually the most important factor in handicapping maidens, then you might assume that A has a slight advantage over B who has a bigger advantage over C. But there is more to it than that, because B is dropping out of the Maiden Special Weight ranks into a mid-class maiden claimer. That gives B a big class advantage. In this case, though speed is usually the first consideration, the class drop is now determines who your top pick will be.

Comparing one number to another and looking at it as a fraction or ratio is one way to see just how big the difference, or advantage may be. For speed we have 78/77 but for class, using the purse, we have $45,000/28,000. Now the difference becomes quite clear. While we still have to consider other handicapping tools, ratios will help you to make the many comparisons that make horse racing handicapping so challenging and potentially profitable.

There are several ways to use this information. First of all, you can determine what the most important factor is in any class of race just by looking at the winners of past races and comparing their speed, class, pace, and connections to the other horses who ran against them. Secondly, you can create a fraction or ratio for comparing the attributes of the horses in a given race.

If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://horse-racing-handicapping.co/ and get the truth. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill's handicapping store.

View the original article here